Thursday, 18 December 2014

Where Have All The Set Piece Goals Gone?

You have to sing the title of this post to to the tune of this bizarre classic by Paula Cole:


    

Killer chorus.

A question: Where have all the set piece goals gone?

Through 160 games this season we have seen 72 set piece goals (if the numbers are out lemme know). Through 160 games of the 13/14 season we had already seen 96 goals.

So what gives: are teams taking less set piece shots or has shooting% from set piece shots dropped off? In fact, both of these things have happened.

Set Piece Data In 14/15


S 14/15 SP Shots F SP Shots A SP Goals F SP Goals A Shooting%
Arsenal 56 38 3 6 5.4
Aston Villa 39 52 2 5 5.1
Burnley 39 67 1 6 2.6
Chelsea 54 31 7 2 13.0
Crystal Palace 41 58 6 7 14.6
Everton 41 47 6 2 14.6
Hull 28 65 2 2 7.1
Leicester 37 78 1 6 2.7
Liverpool 52 44 2 6 3.8
Man City 46 45 1 2.2
Man United 51 53 6 4 11.8
Newcastle 62 44 2 2 3.2
QPR 66 53 5 4 7.6
Southampton 52 42 3 1 5.8
Stoke 63 60 2 4 3.2
Sunderland 57 31 3 1 5.3
Swansea 33 52 1 4 3.0
Tottenham 52 43 5 1 9.6
West Brom 48 46 5 5 10.4
West Ham 72 40 9 4 12.5
Total 989 989 72 72 7.3

72 goals on 989 shots for a shooting% of 7.3% from set pieces.

Set Piece Data In 13/14


S 13/14 SP Shots F SP SHots A SP Goals F SP Goals A Shooting%
Arsenal 41 50 4 4 9.8
Aston Villa 39 50 3 4 7.7
Cardiff 59 67 5 2 8.5
Chelsea 57 42 7 5 12.3
Palace 55 41 4 6 7.3
Everton 56 43 8 3 14.3
Fulham 38 75 6 8 15.8
Hull 57 64 2 4 3.5
Liverpool 61 47 10 5 16.4
Man City 65 28 10 5 15.4
Man United 51 44 6 6 11.8
Newcastle 46 57 4 6 8.7
Norwich 48 60 2 5 4.2
Southampton 68 50 5 3 7.4
Stoke 42 62 3 8 7.1
Sunderland 52 50 5 6 9.6
Swansea 39 57 4 3 10.3
Tottenham 64 54 3 2 4.7
West Brom 48 43 4 4 8.3
West Ham 55 57 1 7 1.8
1041 1041 96 96 9.2

96 goals on 1041 shots for a 9.2% shooting%.

We should know by know that shooting% fluctuates over small samples and a drop from 9.2% to 7.3% can probably be filed under 'shit happens'. The shooting% may well regress so let's not worry too much about percentages. But I do wonder why shots from set pieces are down by 152 from this point last year, -152 shots is almost a shot per game.

Anyone have any ideas? Data issues; a change in tactics; fewer shots from corners; fewer direct free kicks being given; better defending from set piece situations?

As always I want you guys to do some of the work, so let me in the comments if you can think of any reasons for the drop off in both shots and shooting% from set pieces.




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